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麥收偏逢強降雨 托市效果不及預期

2016-06-21 14:40:36 來源：中國農機網 閱讀量：16782 評論

 　　【中國農機網 行業(yè)要聞】近幾日，連續(xù)的陰雨天氣，氣象部門發(fā)布的天氣監(jiān)測數據顯示，此次降雨過程雨量分布比較均勻，大雨天氣比較多，建議農民朋友抓住有利天氣加緊收割。
　　

 
　　連綿陰雨對小麥的生長造成不利影響
　　
　　今年冬小麥進入抽穗期以來，慶陽氣溫偏低、日照偏少、雨日較多，對農業(yè)生產造成了不同程度的影響。目前，冬小麥已進入乳熟關鍵期，從現場聯合調查情況來看，前期的低溫陰雨寡照天氣對冬小麥的正常灌漿有較大的影響，部分地塊小麥不孕小穗率增多，穗上部空秕粒現象嚴重，對產量形成造成一定影響。農業(yè)氣象專家建議，各地要做好冬小麥乳熟期的田間管理工作，適時噴施殺蟲劑、殺菌劑、植物生長調節(jié)劑，來調節(jié)田間小氣候，改善植株的生長狀況，防治病蟲害，使植株上盡可能多保留綠色葉片，防止小麥倒伏，從而增加粒重，提高產量。
　　
　　倒伏率達到了七成以上
　　
　　從5月下旬至今，連續(xù)的陰雨大風天氣，對小麥造成了嚴重的影響。現在正是小麥的收割季節(jié)，天天下雨，田里小麥倒伏嚴重。很多地方小麥倒伏率達到了70%以上，如果未來一段日子還是陰雨天氣，部分農田的小麥可能面臨絕產。
　　
　　大片的小麥倒伏給收割帶來了難度，加上天公不作美，收割機的費用也因此水漲船高，每畝收割費用至少增加了20元，達到了每畝100元，一些倒伏嚴重的麥田，收割費用在每畝150元以上，是往年的兩倍左右。正因為這些原因，今年小麥的收獲期也將會延遲。
　　
　　除了倒伏外，陰雨天氣對小麥的質量也產生了嚴重影響。在這個季節(jié)原本應該金燦燦的麥田變成了灰黑色的一片。因為長期浸泡在雨水里，成熟的麥穗變成了灰色，顯得無精打采。“即使能及時收割，這種品相的麥子生產出的面粉質量也一般，賣價也不會太高。”
　　
　　小麥托市效果不及預期
　　
　　近段時間以來，國內主產區(qū)小麥收獲重心逐步向北方轉移，截至6月13日，全國已收獲冬小麥超過2.8億畝，麥收進度過八成，其中機械收獲面積逾2.58億畝，機收比例達92.2%。目前安徽、河南麥收基本結束，江蘇、陜西過八成，山東近七成半，河北過五成半，山西過四成半，北京、天津麥收已啟動，總體來看，小麥收割已進入尾聲，小麥市場的天平也逐漸傾向于新小麥的收購，各類收購主體也都將入市收購。
　　
　　從當前南方麥區(qū)已上市的小麥質量來看，貿易商普遍反映并不樂觀，湖北、河南、安徽部分地區(qū)小麥均出現赤霉病粒、病斑粒和不完善粒超標的現象，在上一年夏收期間這部分小麥滯銷情況就相當突出，個別地區(qū)還出現了“賣糧難”的現象。當前有市場人士認為，目前市場所關心重點已不是國儲倉容夠不夠的問題，而是今年能有多少達標小麥可以進入托市收購的問題，不達標小麥上年的曲折購銷經歷會否在今年重演？值得關注。
　　
　　盡管近來安徽、湖北、江蘇、河南四省已啟動了小麥托市收購預案，但各地小麥價格大多仍低于國家低收購價水平，據了解，當前河南周口扶溝水分14%、容重750克的小麥收購價在1.05元/斤，平頂山葉縣水分13.5%、容重760克的小麥收購價1.09元/斤，開封蘭考水分14%、容重770-780克的小麥收購價1.10元/斤；安徽安慶望江地區(qū)容重760-770克、水分14%的小麥收購價1.04元/斤，阜陽潁上地區(qū)水分14%、容重750-770的小麥收購價格在1.05元/斤；山東泰安東平水分14%、容重770的小麥收購價1.13元/斤，棗莊臺兒莊水分15%、容重780-790的小麥收購價1.10元/斤；江蘇新沂及周邊地區(qū)市場上新麥收購價格大多在104-105元/斤；湖北襄陽加工企業(yè)收購不完善粒指標在13%以下、水分在15%以內的小麥價格在1.10元/斤左右，不完善粒指標在15%以上的收購價格不到1.00元/斤。市場預計受部分地區(qū)小麥質量受損的影響，低質小麥將會像上年一樣拖累小麥市場的整體行情，市場價格的重心上提十分困難。

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