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通用機(jī)械行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行情況(2024年上半年)

2024-08-12 09:56:02 來(lái)源:中國(guó)通用機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì) 閱讀量:12421 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀:上半年行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行保持了穩(wěn)中有升、低速發(fā)展態(tài)勢(shì),產(chǎn)銷(xiāo)增速趨穩(wěn)、趨緩。

  【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】今年以來(lái),國(guó)家宏觀調(diào)控政策持續(xù)釋放積極效應(yīng),為通用機(jī)械行業(yè)穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)提供了良好發(fā)展環(huán)境,行業(yè)企業(yè)積極作為,開(kāi)拓國(guó)內(nèi)外市場(chǎng),持續(xù)推進(jìn)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí),著力培育新質(zhì)生產(chǎn)力。上半年行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行保持了穩(wěn)中有升、低速發(fā)展態(tài)勢(shì),產(chǎn)銷(xiāo)增速趨穩(wěn)、趨緩。
 
  一、行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行特點(diǎn)
 
  生產(chǎn)營(yíng)收平穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng),利潤(rùn)增速下滑
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行(2024年上半年)
 
  據(jù)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù),1-6月,通用機(jī)械行業(yè)8429家規(guī)模以上企業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)營(yíng)業(yè)收入4960.97億元,同比增長(zhǎng)3.22%,高于機(jī)械工業(yè)2.25個(gè)百分點(diǎn);實(shí)現(xiàn)利潤(rùn)總額355.81億元,同比下降1.43%,高于機(jī)械工業(yè)4.87個(gè)百分點(diǎn);完成出口交貨值811.65億元,同比增長(zhǎng)13.53%。
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)泵、風(fēng)機(jī)、壓縮機(jī)、閥門(mén)、氣體分離及液化設(shè)備、減變速機(jī)6種產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)量保持增長(zhǎng),增幅不一,總體水平平穩(wěn)。其中泵、氣體壓縮機(jī)、氣體分離及液化設(shè)備產(chǎn)量保持兩位數(shù)增長(zhǎng)。
 
  利潤(rùn)總額增速下滑的主要原因是去年同期利潤(rùn)總額增速22.9%基數(shù)較高,二是市場(chǎng)需求不足,價(jià)格競(jìng)爭(zhēng)造成利潤(rùn)下滑。
 
  截至今年6月底,通用機(jī)械行業(yè)應(yīng)收賬款3169.07億元,同比增長(zhǎng)10.79%,增加了企業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)壓力。1-6月?tīng)I(yíng)收利潤(rùn)率為7.17%,較上年同期下降0.34個(gè)百分點(diǎn);行業(yè)虧損面24.69%,較上年同期增加了2.14個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。
 
  主要指標(biāo)完成同比增速圖
 
  據(jù)中通協(xié)對(duì)通用機(jī)械行業(yè)227家重點(diǎn)聯(lián)系企業(yè)統(tǒng)計(jì),1-6月,完成工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值744.28億元,同比下降0.7%;完成工業(yè)銷(xiāo)售產(chǎn)值701.16億元,同比下降2.37%,其中出口交貨值55.57億元,同比增長(zhǎng)1.86%;實(shí)現(xiàn)營(yíng)業(yè)收入829.01億元,同比增長(zhǎng)5.44%;實(shí)現(xiàn)利潤(rùn)總額64.93億元,同比增長(zhǎng)0.91%;累計(jì)訂貨額1346.42億元,同比增長(zhǎng)5.41%;應(yīng)收賬款595.38億元,同比增長(zhǎng)9.51%。
 
  重點(diǎn)聯(lián)系企業(yè)上半年產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)不均衡,統(tǒng)計(jì)樣本偏少,不能全面反映行業(yè)情況。68家風(fēng)機(jī)制造企業(yè)完成風(fēng)機(jī)658.5萬(wàn)臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)6.88%;46家泵制造企業(yè)完成泵592.85萬(wàn)臺(tái),同比下降28.65%,泵產(chǎn)量同比大幅下降主要是產(chǎn)量較大的民用及房地產(chǎn)用泵下降所致;45家壓縮機(jī)制造企業(yè)完成壓縮機(jī)35.96萬(wàn)臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)26.64%,是由于去年同期微型空氣壓縮機(jī)大幅下降,基數(shù)較低;24家閥門(mén)企業(yè)完成閥門(mén)22.20萬(wàn)噸,同比增長(zhǎng)2.99%;9家真空設(shè)備企業(yè)完成真空泵等12492.32套,同比增長(zhǎng)6.51%;8家分離機(jī)械企業(yè)完成分離機(jī)2319臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)7.97%,完成壓濾機(jī)1299臺(tái),同比下降15.59%;11家減變速機(jī)企業(yè)完成減速機(jī)130.43萬(wàn)臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)13.51%。
 
  2021-2024年6月通用機(jī)械行業(yè)重點(diǎn)企業(yè)主要經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)同比增速
 
出口保持穩(wěn)定,進(jìn)口下降
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行(2024年上半年)
 
  據(jù)海關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),1-6月,通用機(jī)械47種重點(diǎn)產(chǎn)品累計(jì)進(jìn)出口額237.22億美元,同比增長(zhǎng)1.17%。其中進(jìn)口68.63億美元,同比下降6%;出口168.59億美元,同比增長(zhǎng)4.41%;進(jìn)出口順差99.97億美元,同比增長(zhǎng)13%。
 
  從上半年各月出口金額看,1月份出口額最高,2月由于春節(jié)假期影響出口額最低,3-6月逐月回升,出口態(tài)勢(shì)平穩(wěn)。進(jìn)口金額自3月開(kāi)始逐月回落,呈下降態(tài)勢(shì)。進(jìn)出口順差保持增長(zhǎng)。
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)47種重點(diǎn)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口數(shù)據(jù)出現(xiàn)了結(jié)構(gòu)性變化。出口主要發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家整體增速放緩或下降,1-6月出口美國(guó)同比增長(zhǎng)1.02%、出口德國(guó)同比增長(zhǎng)2.3%、出口日本同比下降16.89%、出口俄羅斯同比增長(zhǎng)0.61%。出口東南亞、中亞、北美洲等發(fā)展中國(guó)家的增速上升,1-6月出口印度尼西亞同比增長(zhǎng)12.15%、出口印度同比增長(zhǎng)13.93%、出口墨西哥同比增長(zhǎng)27.18%、出口越南同比增長(zhǎng)33.54%。
 
  分區(qū)域看:1-6月出口東盟十國(guó)同比增長(zhǎng)19.14%,出口中亞五國(guó)同比增4.71%,出口歐盟二十七國(guó)同比增長(zhǎng)7.2%。
 
  進(jìn)口方面,從主要發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家進(jìn)口增速下降。從美國(guó)進(jìn)口同比降低6.48%,從德國(guó)進(jìn)口同比降低8.2%,從日本進(jìn)口同比降低13.51%,從韓國(guó)進(jìn)口同比降低12.72%。
 
  面對(duì)當(dāng)前復(fù)雜嚴(yán)峻的國(guó)際政治經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì),通用機(jī)械行業(yè)產(chǎn)品出口仍然保持穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng),反映出通用機(jī)械行業(yè)企業(yè)不斷努力開(kāi)拓國(guó)際市場(chǎng)的成果和通用機(jī)械產(chǎn)品國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的不斷提升。進(jìn)口增速下降,反映出通用機(jī)械行業(yè)關(guān)鍵技術(shù)裝備不斷取得突破,產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈、供應(yīng)鏈安全保障能力持續(xù)提升。
 
  2021-2024年6月進(jìn)出口金額及增速
 
市場(chǎng)增量需求乏力
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行(2024年上半年)
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)產(chǎn)品基本以銷(xiāo)定產(chǎn),從協(xié)會(huì)對(duì)203家重點(diǎn)聯(lián)系企業(yè)今年1-6月統(tǒng)計(jì)顯示,工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值、營(yíng)業(yè)收入、累計(jì)訂貨量指標(biāo)同比增長(zhǎng)的企業(yè)占比分別為55%、49%、50%。而2023年同期工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值、營(yíng)業(yè)收入、累計(jì)訂貨量同比增長(zhǎng)的占比分別為:54%、54%、60%,說(shuō)明當(dāng)前市場(chǎng)需求壓力較去年相比更加嚴(yán)峻。
 
  近兩年來(lái),通用機(jī)械行業(yè)市場(chǎng)需求呈現(xiàn)結(jié)構(gòu)性特征,大型煉化一體化項(xiàng)目集中投入,光伏電池、新能源汽車(chē)、儲(chǔ)能等新能源項(xiàng)目快速發(fā)展,對(duì)通用機(jī)械行業(yè)帶來(lái)極大的市場(chǎng)需求,但這些行業(yè)產(chǎn)能持續(xù)擴(kuò)張需求減弱的趨勢(shì)也已開(kāi)始顯現(xiàn)。當(dāng)前城市管網(wǎng)建設(shè)、水利設(shè)施、污水處理、風(fēng)力發(fā)電等對(duì)通用機(jī)械需求較好,鋼鐵、冶金、房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)需求仍然不振,整體看通用機(jī)械市場(chǎng)增量需求乏力,企業(yè)面臨較大的生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營(yíng)壓力。
 
  二、行業(yè)發(fā)展亮點(diǎn)
 
  科技創(chuàng)新引領(lǐng)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行(2024年上半年)
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)企業(yè)堅(jiān)持科技創(chuàng)新引領(lǐng)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí),面向國(guó)家重點(diǎn)工程項(xiàng)目建設(shè)需求,在重大技術(shù)裝備、關(guān)鍵核心技術(shù)及重點(diǎn)配套技術(shù)產(chǎn)品方面不斷有新的進(jìn)展,持續(xù)補(bǔ)短板、強(qiáng)弱項(xiàng)、填補(bǔ)行業(yè)空白,在產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈、供應(yīng)鏈的位置不斷上移,今年以來(lái),又有一批重大技術(shù)裝備和關(guān)鍵產(chǎn)品。
 
  如核電方面,標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化華龍1號(hào)三代核電上充泵、核電站再熱調(diào)節(jié)閥、1E級(jí)閥門(mén)電動(dòng)裝置、核三級(jí)余熱排出泵和核島設(shè)備關(guān)鍵密封件等新產(chǎn)品通過(guò)鑒定。
 
  火電方面,沈鼓集團(tuán) “600MW超(超)臨界鍋爐給水”產(chǎn)品和“1000MW超超臨界全容量鍋爐給水泵”工程樣機(jī)通過(guò)鑒定。
 
  石化化工方面,沈鼓集團(tuán)簽約中沙古雷項(xiàng)目最大負(fù)荷180萬(wàn)噸/年乙烯三機(jī)和塔里木石化二期國(guó)內(nèi)首臺(tái)套全電驅(qū)動(dòng)乙烯三機(jī)合同。
 
  哈電集團(tuán)蘇州道森閥門(mén)公司研制的加氫高壓浮動(dòng)硬密封球閥(NPS8,Class2500)等四項(xiàng)閥門(mén)、大連大高閥門(mén)股份有限公司研制的“高壓臨氫閘閥和高溫高壓蒸汽閘閥”系列產(chǎn)品、四川空分等單位聯(lián)合研制的“1000萬(wàn)立方米/天等級(jí)天然氣透平膨脹機(jī)”等新產(chǎn)品通過(guò)鑒定。
 
  節(jié)能、新興產(chǎn)業(yè)方面,沈鼓集團(tuán)首套永磁電機(jī)高速鼓風(fēng)機(jī)研制成功,陜鼓集團(tuán)承制世界首臺(tái)(套)300兆瓦級(jí)壓縮空氣儲(chǔ)能電站投產(chǎn),中電建上海能源裝備有限公司等聯(lián)合研制的 100MW 級(jí)塔式太陽(yáng)能光熱電站熔鹽泵(VB22-5P3型)工程樣機(jī)通過(guò)鑒定。四川空分自主開(kāi)發(fā)的“天然氣液化及氦資源高效利用關(guān)鍵技術(shù)和裝備與工業(yè)化應(yīng)用”通過(guò)科技成果評(píng)價(jià)。杭氧集團(tuán)江西制氧機(jī)有限公司自主研發(fā)生產(chǎn)的液氦罐箱批量下線。
 
  智能制造助力高質(zhì)量發(fā)展
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行(2024年上半年)
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)積極推進(jìn)數(shù)字化轉(zhuǎn)型和智能化升級(jí),推動(dòng)新一代信息技術(shù)與制造業(yè)深度融合,高端化、數(shù)字化、智能化發(fā)展取得新的進(jìn)步。行業(yè)企業(yè)持續(xù)加大智能制造投入,加快智能化建設(shè)步伐,如江蘇神通閥門(mén)股份有限公司、江蘇鹽電閥門(mén)有限公司、成都成高閥門(mén)有限公司、山東章鼓鼓風(fēng)機(jī)股份有限公司等智能化、數(shù)字化管理平臺(tái)、車(chē)間等改造項(xiàng)目陸續(xù)投入使用并取得良好經(jīng)濟(jì)效益。
 
  “走出去”戰(zhàn)略加速?lài)?guó)際化發(fā)展
 
  通用機(jī)械行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行(2024年上半年)
 
  由于技術(shù)和管理水平的提升,中國(guó)制造的國(guó)際影響力在快速增強(qiáng),尤其在國(guó)內(nèi)需求不足的壓力下,越來(lái)越多的企業(yè)開(kāi)始實(shí)施“走出去”戰(zhàn)略,擴(kuò)大出口,加速?lài)?guó)際化發(fā)展,今年上半年出現(xiàn)了新冠疫情以來(lái)通用機(jī)械出口的又一個(gè)高峰期。沈鼓集團(tuán)、杭氧集團(tuán)上半年外貿(mào)合同均創(chuàng)歷史新高,多家企業(yè)為開(kāi)拓國(guó)際市場(chǎng)在海外設(shè)廠,如蘇州紐威閥門(mén)股份有限公司擬投資2700萬(wàn)美元在越南投建紐威閥門(mén)越南有限公司,制造銷(xiāo)售工業(yè)閥門(mén)及管線控制設(shè)備等。
 
  三、行業(yè)發(fā)展中面臨的困難
 
  近幾年行業(yè)持續(xù)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)取得顯著成績(jī),創(chuàng)新能力不斷增強(qiáng),產(chǎn)品水平和質(zhì)量不斷提升,但市場(chǎng)需求不足、產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩矛盾依然突出,行業(yè)同質(zhì)化、無(wú)序競(jìng)爭(zhēng)加劇,產(chǎn)品價(jià)格下行,應(yīng)收賬款增大等多重困難因素將持續(xù)影響通用機(jī)械行業(yè)發(fā)展。
 
  四、全年發(fā)展預(yù)期
 
  雖然通用機(jī)械行業(yè)和全國(guó)機(jī)械工業(yè)一樣,面臨著國(guó)內(nèi)有效需求不足,出口壓力加大等多種困難,但我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期向好的基本趨勢(shì)沒(méi)有改變,二十屆三中全會(huì)召開(kāi),為我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展注入了強(qiáng)大改革動(dòng)力。七月底召開(kāi)的中央政治局會(huì)議研究部署了下半年經(jīng)濟(jì)工作,再次強(qiáng)調(diào)堅(jiān)持穩(wěn)中求進(jìn)工作總基調(diào),深化創(chuàng)新驅(qū)動(dòng)發(fā)展,深入挖掘內(nèi)需潛力。《推動(dòng)大規(guī)模設(shè)備更新和消費(fèi)品以舊換新行動(dòng)方案》及系列配套措施正逐步落地實(shí)施,通用機(jī)械行業(yè)服務(wù)領(lǐng)域廣泛,新增投資及存量設(shè)備改造都會(huì)為通用機(jī)械行業(yè)帶來(lái)大量市場(chǎng)需求,預(yù)計(jì)行業(yè)全年主要經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)增速維持在5%左右。
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