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10月份生豬生產(chǎn)形勢是怎樣的?農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部舉行例行新聞發(fā)布會

2019-11-22 11:58:49 來源:農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量:39592 評論

導(dǎo)讀:11月22日上午,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就10月份生豬生產(chǎn)形勢有關(guān)情況舉行例行新聞發(fā)布會,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部畜牧獸醫(yī)局局長楊振海介紹10月份生豬生產(chǎn)形勢,并回答記者提問。

  【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 熱點(diǎn)關(guān)注】 11月22日上午,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就10月份生豬生產(chǎn)形勢有關(guān)情況舉行例行新聞發(fā)布會,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部畜牧獸醫(yī)局局長楊振海介紹10月份生豬生產(chǎn)形勢,并回答記者提問。
 
  楊振海局長首先對當(dāng)前生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)和政策落實(shí)情況進(jìn)行了通報。9月6日,國務(wù)院辦公廳印發(fā)《關(guān)于穩(wěn)定生豬生產(chǎn)促進(jìn)轉(zhuǎn)型升級的意見》,明確了一攬子支持生豬生產(chǎn)發(fā)展的政策措施。農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部認(rèn)真貫徹落實(shí)黨中央、國務(wù)院的決策部署,切實(shí)履行部門牽頭職責(zé),全力推進(jìn)生豬穩(wěn)產(chǎn)保供各項(xiàng)工作。會同有關(guān)部門成立恢復(fù)生豬生產(chǎn)協(xié)調(diào)辦公室,這個辦公室就在我們部里,積極推動各項(xiàng)生豬生產(chǎn)扶持政策落實(shí)落地,強(qiáng)化各地政策落實(shí)跟蹤調(diào)度;加強(qiáng)對生豬生產(chǎn)和市場、飼料生產(chǎn)等情況的跟蹤監(jiān)測。近日,針對生豬生產(chǎn)存欄降幅較大的省份,通過致函、約談等方式加強(qiáng)督促,進(jìn)一步壓實(shí)地方責(zé)任。11月7日,召開南方九省(區(qū)、市)生豬生產(chǎn)調(diào)度會,推介“加農(nóng)戶”“產(chǎn)業(yè)體系幫農(nóng)戶”等技術(shù)模式,調(diào)動小散戶增養(yǎng)補(bǔ)欄積極性,促進(jìn)南方地區(qū)生豬生產(chǎn)加快恢復(fù)??偟目?,各項(xiàng)政策的效果正在顯現(xiàn),全國生豬生產(chǎn)整體上進(jìn)入了止降回升的轉(zhuǎn)折期,生豬存欄環(huán)比降幅進(jìn)一步收窄,能繁母豬存欄開始止降回升,規(guī)模養(yǎng)殖場生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)進(jìn)一步加快,各項(xiàng)生產(chǎn)指標(biāo)都在好轉(zhuǎn),供需矛盾有所緩解。進(jìn)入11月份,生豬價格也有所回落。
 
  下一步農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部將會同有關(guān)部門,重點(diǎn)抓好以下五個方面工作,促進(jìn)生豬生產(chǎn)加快恢復(fù)。一是加快落實(shí)各項(xiàng)政策措施。中央扶持和補(bǔ)貼資金陸續(xù)下達(dá),督促地方加快建設(shè)項(xiàng)目進(jìn)度,加快補(bǔ)貼資金撥付,落實(shí)到養(yǎng)殖場(戶)。進(jìn)一步完善生豬養(yǎng)殖設(shè)施農(nóng)用地政策,繼續(xù)督促地方做好規(guī)范禁養(yǎng)區(qū)劃定和管理工作,一律取消超范圍劃定的禁養(yǎng)區(qū),開展禁養(yǎng)區(qū)劃定情況排查糾偏。推動各省(區(qū)、市)人民政府對本地區(qū)穩(wěn)定生豬生產(chǎn)、保障市場供應(yīng)負(fù)總責(zé)的要求落到實(shí)處。二是持續(xù)抓好非洲豬瘟防控。督促各地嚴(yán)格執(zhí)行現(xiàn)行有效防控措施,嚴(yán)肅查處瞞報、謊報、遲報、漏報疫情的行為。繼續(xù)推進(jìn)非洲豬瘟分區(qū)防控工作。組織開展全國秋防大檢查,指導(dǎo)地方做好秋季動物集中免疫。三是強(qiáng)化生產(chǎn)調(diào)度和指導(dǎo)服務(wù)。對全國年出欄500頭以上規(guī)模豬場實(shí)行每月生產(chǎn)調(diào)度,適時向社會發(fā)布信息,穩(wěn)定生產(chǎn)、消費(fèi)信心和市場預(yù)期。以縣為單位面向養(yǎng)豬場戶開展專題培訓(xùn),總結(jié)推廣各地恢復(fù)生豬生產(chǎn)的好典型、好經(jīng)驗(yàn)、好做法。四是組織開展屠宰企業(yè)凍肉庫存摸底。結(jié)合正在開展的屠宰環(huán)節(jié)兩項(xiàng)制度落實(shí)情況“回頭看”,對全國建有冷庫的生豬屠宰企業(yè)全面開展排查,摸清凍豬肉庫存家底。督促各地規(guī)范檢疫工作,堅決杜絕限制生豬和豬肉流通的行為,保障正常市場秩序。五是強(qiáng)化信息發(fā)布。組織召開例行新聞發(fā)布會,每月中旬通過專題新聞發(fā)布會發(fā)布信息,加強(qiáng)政策措施的解讀,通報生豬生產(chǎn)和市場供應(yīng)走勢,回應(yīng)社會關(guān)切,穩(wěn)定社會預(yù)期。
 
  當(dāng)前的生豬生產(chǎn)的形勢是怎樣的?
 
  楊振海局長介紹,隨著扶持生豬生產(chǎn)各項(xiàng)利好政策的落實(shí)落地,加上市場行情看好,養(yǎng)殖戶補(bǔ)欄增養(yǎng)的積極性明顯提升,10月份生豬生產(chǎn)主要指標(biāo)都出現(xiàn)了積極的變化。我給大家介紹四個指標(biāo):個積極變化,全國能繁母豬存欄止降回升。10月份,能繁母豬環(huán)比增長0.6%,這是自去年4月份以來能繁母豬存欄環(huán)比增長。這個信號是非常強(qiáng)的。第二個積極變化,全國規(guī)模養(yǎng)豬場生豬生產(chǎn)持續(xù)較快恢復(fù)。10月份,全國年出欄5000頭以上的規(guī)模豬場生豬存欄環(huán)比增長0.5%;能繁母豬存欄環(huán)比增長4.7%。全國年出欄5000頭以上的規(guī)模養(yǎng)豬場,全口徑統(tǒng)計一共有1.3萬家,規(guī)模豬場生豬存欄和能繁母豬存欄均已連續(xù)兩個月環(huán)比增長。第三個積極變化,全國生豬存欄降幅進(jìn)一步收窄。10月份,全國生豬存欄環(huán)比降幅是0.6%,與8月份、9月份相比,分別收窄了9.2和2.4個百分點(diǎn)。第四個積極變化,全國生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)面不斷擴(kuò)大。東北、西北和黃淮河地區(qū)生豬恢復(fù)比較快,西南、華南地區(qū)產(chǎn)能下滑也趨緩。比如,黑龍江、陜西、河南、吉林、山東、安徽等12個省份生豬存欄止降回升,高的省份當(dāng)月環(huán)比增幅超過7%,9個省份環(huán)比降幅收窄。黑龍江、河南、河北、山東、江西、湖北等17個省能繁母豬存欄止降回升,比9月份增加4個省份。在能繁母豬存欄止降回升中有的省份能繁母豬約環(huán)比增幅超過10%。從這些積極因素判斷,當(dāng)前全國生豬產(chǎn)能下滑已基本見地,年底前存欄有望止降回升。
 
  生豬生產(chǎn)什么時候能夠恢復(fù)?
 
  楊振海局長表示,生豬生產(chǎn)有自身的規(guī)律,恢復(fù)生產(chǎn)還是需要一個過程。一般來說,母豬補(bǔ)欄從出生到可以配種需要7至8個月的時間,能繁母豬懷孕時間接近4個月,實(shí)際上是114天,育肥豬出欄上市需要6個月的時間。因此,對于明年上半年的生豬生產(chǎn)來說,主要還取決于今年下半年能繁母豬存欄的數(shù)量。目前能繁母豬存欄量已經(jīng)止降回升,照此趨勢發(fā)展,在疫情防控持續(xù)推進(jìn)和疫情穩(wěn)定的情況下,明年上半年生豬生產(chǎn)總體來說將進(jìn)一步好轉(zhuǎn)。但是,市場供應(yīng)明顯增加可能還要到明年下半年。我們的目標(biāo)是,力爭明年底基本恢復(fù)到常年80%左右的水平。
 
  禽蛋、禽肉等其它的替代品生產(chǎn)供應(yīng)情況如何?
 
  楊振海局長介紹,今年以來,肉禽生產(chǎn)增勢非常迅猛,禽蛋和牛羊肉均不同程度的增長,市場供應(yīng)充裕。禽肉大幅增長可一定程度上填補(bǔ)豬肉供應(yīng)的缺口,有利于增加元旦春節(jié)期間肉蛋等“菜籃子”產(chǎn)品的供給。根據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù),1-10月份,全國累計肉雞出欄同比增長15.5%,這在歷年還是比較快的,產(chǎn)能達(dá)到歷史高點(diǎn);牛奶產(chǎn)量同比增長5.6%,這也是近年來比較少有的。10月份,雞蛋產(chǎn)量同比增長6.1%,連續(xù)6個月環(huán)比增長。據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù),前三季度牛肉和羊肉產(chǎn)量分別達(dá)到458萬噸和330萬噸,分別增長3.2%和2.3%,這在近年來也是少有的。綜合各方面的數(shù)據(jù)分析,我們預(yù)計全年禽肉增產(chǎn)潛力在300萬噸以上,牛奶增產(chǎn)160萬噸以上,禽蛋增產(chǎn)80萬噸以上,牛羊肉增產(chǎn)30萬噸以上??偟膩砜?,禽肉、禽蛋、牛羊產(chǎn)品全面增產(chǎn),禽肉增產(chǎn)的更多,可在一定程度上緩解豬肉供應(yīng)偏緊的局面,豐富老百姓“菜籃子”產(chǎn)品供給。畜產(chǎn)品供給我們判斷是有保障的。借此機(jī)會我特別想說一下禽肉消費(fèi)問題,從世界范圍看,2016年禽肉取代豬肉成為消費(fèi)的大肉類,也就是多的肉類。主要是大家認(rèn)為禽肉屬于白肉,豬肉屬于紅肉,吃禽肉更有利于健康,也更經(jīng)濟(jì)。我們都知道,肉雞、肉鴨的飼料轉(zhuǎn)化率不到2:1,生豬的飼料轉(zhuǎn)化率是3.5:1,所以更有效。同時,禽肉生產(chǎn)更有利于減輕資源壓力、更有利于環(huán)保,因此我們建議大家多消費(fèi)禽肉。
 
  當(dāng)前非洲豬瘟防控形勢如何?
 
  楊振海局長表示,當(dāng)前,非洲豬瘟疫情防控形勢依然復(fù)雜嚴(yán)峻,從2018年8月3日,我國報告例疫情到昨天,也就是說截至11月21日,全國共報告發(fā)生160起非洲豬瘟疫情,共撲殺生豬119.3萬頭,全國還有2個省3起疫情目前還沒有解除封鎖,其余的29個省份疫區(qū)已解除封鎖。今年以來,非洲豬瘟疫情形勢十分嚴(yán)峻,已經(jīng)有26個國家報告發(fā)生13000多起疫情,我國周邊國家的疫情形勢也非常嚴(yán)峻。非洲豬瘟病毒已在我們國家形成比較大的污染面,預(yù)計疫情將在我們國家繼續(xù)呈點(diǎn)狀發(fā)生。隨著氣溫持續(xù)下降、各地生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)發(fā)展,年底生豬調(diào)運(yùn)增多,疫情發(fā)生風(fēng)險會增高。對此,我們也已經(jīng)通知各地,要有清醒的認(rèn)識,絕不能掉以輕心。尤其是東北地區(qū),氣溫已降至零下,如果消毒等措施落實(shí)不到位,疫情發(fā)生的風(fēng)險會更高。我們都知道,搞好動物疫病防控是發(fā)展生產(chǎn)的保障和前提,針對非洲豬瘟防控形勢,近期農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部在持續(xù)強(qiáng)化監(jiān)測、排查、報告、處置等工作的基礎(chǔ)上,重點(diǎn)是壓實(shí)地方責(zé)任,組織各地開展“大清洗、大消毒”行動,開展全國秋季重大動物疫病防控大檢查,派出多個工作組赴各有關(guān)省開展督導(dǎo),采取多項(xiàng)措施,落實(shí)各方責(zé)任,全力做好各項(xiàng)防控工作。下一步,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部將繼續(xù)督促指導(dǎo)各地落實(shí)好各項(xiàng)防控措施,努力保障疫情防控形勢持續(xù)向好,確保疫情不反彈。
 
  關(guān)于非洲豬瘟非法疫苗的情況怎么樣了?
 
  楊振海局長說,獸用疫苗是用于預(yù)防動物疫病的一類特殊商品,必須確保其安全、有效、質(zhì)量可控,這三要素是必須的。農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部堅持依法依規(guī)開展新獸藥審批工作,基于科學(xué)、翔實(shí)的實(shí)驗(yàn)數(shù)據(jù)開展評審評價,符合“安全、有效和質(zhì)量可控”要求的新獸藥方可批準(zhǔn)上市。非洲豬瘟疫苗研制是一個世界性難題,我們前一段時間剛到西班牙和意大利考察情況,他們也面臨很多困難。截至目前,包括中國在內(nèi)的*各國還沒有一個批準(zhǔn)上市銷售使用非洲豬瘟商品化疫苗。我國發(fā)生非洲豬瘟疫情以來,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部積極支持、鼓勵所有合法合規(guī)的科研機(jī)構(gòu)和企業(yè)開展非洲豬瘟防控技術(shù)的研究工作。從我們掌握的情況看,各研究單位進(jìn)展不一,進(jìn)度快的也還處于臨床前研究和轉(zhuǎn)基因生物安全評價階段,都沒有向農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部提出開展臨床試驗(yàn)申請。如有關(guān)單位研制的非豬疫苗達(dá)到“安全、有效和質(zhì)量可控”,我部將積極推進(jìn)開展臨床實(shí)驗(yàn)。正如您剛才說的,目前市場上出現(xiàn)的所謂“非洲豬瘟中試苗、自家苗、進(jìn)口苗”,按照《獸藥管理?xiàng)l例》規(guī)定,都是非法疫苗,都是要嚴(yán)厲打擊的。這些所謂的“非洲豬瘟疫苗”,既缺乏系統(tǒng)的試驗(yàn)研究,更沒有通過科學(xué)、客觀、嚴(yán)格的評審評價,其安全性、有效性都無法保障,特別是活疫苗,可能存在不可知的生物安全風(fēng)險。養(yǎng)殖場(戶)如使用這些非法疫苗,不僅達(dá)不到預(yù)期的預(yù)防效果,還可能導(dǎo)致豬群感染病并引發(fā)疫情傳播,我們絕不能掉以輕心。根據(jù)《獸藥管理?xiàng)l例》規(guī)定,生產(chǎn)、銷售、使用“非洲豬瘟中試苗、自家苗、走私苗”是嚴(yán)重的違法行為,對相關(guān)違法行為,畜牧獸醫(yī)部門將堅決從重從快懲處,依法頂格處罰。
 
  本文由農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布,資料來源:農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部,如有侵權(quán)或異議請聯(lián)系我們。
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