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地點(diǎn): 呼和浩特市
開(kāi)展時(shí)間: 2025-04-05
舉辦單位: 內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)糧食經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)會(huì)、內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)糧食行業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)
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開(kāi)展時(shí)間: 2025-04-10
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開(kāi)展時(shí)間: 2025-04-10
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發(fā)改委:東北四省區(qū)玉米臨儲(chǔ)政策取消
2016-03-29
13:09:59
來(lái)源:中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 作者:魏亞伯 閱讀量:24796
評(píng)論
如果說(shuō)2015年的玉米是燙手的話,那么現(xiàn)在就是灼心。
據(jù)3月25日內(nèi)蒙古新聞聯(lián)播報(bào)道,內(nèi)蒙古及東北三省玉米臨時(shí)收儲(chǔ)制度將取消。這一備受爭(zhēng)議的消息直到3月28日由國(guó)家發(fā)改委召開(kāi)的推進(jìn)玉米收儲(chǔ)制度改革媒體通氣會(huì)上,終得到證實(shí)——發(fā)改委經(jīng)貿(mào)司副司長(zhǎng)劉小南在會(huì)上表示,2016年,在東北三省和內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)將玉米臨時(shí)收儲(chǔ)政策調(diào)整為“市場(chǎng)化收購(gòu)”加“補(bǔ)貼”的新機(jī)制。也就是說(shuō),玉米臨時(shí)收儲(chǔ)政策取消了!
底線何在
自2007年開(kāi)始,國(guó)家為了穩(wěn)定玉米市場(chǎng)價(jià)格,出臺(tái)玉米臨時(shí)收儲(chǔ)政策,多年來(lái),無(wú)論是玉米臨儲(chǔ)價(jià)格還是玉米市場(chǎng)價(jià)格,都一路上揚(yáng)。四年前,我國(guó)玉米價(jià)格開(kāi)始于玉米價(jià)格倒掛,2015年隨著財(cái)政壓力的不斷加大,玉米臨儲(chǔ)價(jià)格被以每斤1.12元下調(diào)至每斤1元,之后玉米市場(chǎng)價(jià)格開(kāi)始跳水,至今未能探底。
這里值得一提的是,國(guó)家糧食局在2015年發(fā)布的《關(guān)于2015年?yáng)|北地區(qū)國(guó)家臨時(shí)存儲(chǔ)玉米收購(gòu)有關(guān)問(wèn)題的通知》中明確指出,2015年國(guó)家臨時(shí)存儲(chǔ)玉米收購(gòu)期限為2015年11月1日至2016年4月30日,而2016年玉米收儲(chǔ)新政也將在秋后玉米上市后開(kāi)始,目前距東北玉米收儲(chǔ)后時(shí)限還有一個(gè)月。
如今隨著臨儲(chǔ)政策的取消,玉米價(jià)格的底線已經(jīng)擺明,就是玉米進(jìn)口價(jià)格——每噸1500元左右。這里值得說(shuō)明的是,國(guó)內(nèi)玉米囤積量巨大,或許會(huì)跌破這一價(jià)格,但隨著市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整,合理價(jià)格應(yīng)該在這一數(shù)字左右,正式與價(jià)格接軌。
新政解讀
據(jù)介紹,此次玉米收儲(chǔ)制度改革將以市場(chǎng)定價(jià)、價(jià)補(bǔ)分離和保障農(nóng)民合理收益為原則推進(jìn)。
市場(chǎng)定價(jià)很明確,既市場(chǎng)主導(dǎo)價(jià)格,而按照大豆與棉花的先例來(lái)講,玉米種植補(bǔ)貼將直接發(fā)放到玉米實(shí)際種植者手中。那么問(wèn)題來(lái)了,補(bǔ)貼多少才能既保護(hù)農(nóng)民收益又促進(jìn)玉米種植改革呢?
目前并沒(méi)有正式發(fā)布數(shù)據(jù),但據(jù)消息人士透露,目前玉米規(guī)?;N植成本每斤約1元,如果當(dāng)前進(jìn)口玉米價(jià)格按照1500元每噸計(jì)算,每斤為0.75元,國(guó)家至少每斤要補(bǔ)貼0.75元才能保證農(nóng)民不虧本,但顯然0.75元太低了,因?yàn)檫@一計(jì)算是按照低成本得出的粗略計(jì)算,實(shí)際的平均種植成本明顯要高出這一數(shù)字。
就目前得到的消息來(lái)講,今年秋后玉米上市后,各市場(chǎng)主體可按照市場(chǎng)價(jià)格對(duì)玉米進(jìn)行收購(gòu),引人擔(dān)憂的是,在玉米價(jià)格沒(méi)有探底之前,恐怕沒(méi)有多少人會(huì)去市場(chǎng)收購(gòu)上市的玉米,農(nóng)民賣糧難或?qū)⒊霈F(xiàn)。為了防止大范圍的賣糧難風(fēng)險(xiǎn)出現(xiàn),政府將安排符合條件的企業(yè)入市托底收購(gòu)。托底收購(gòu)與臨儲(chǔ)政策不同的是,這種托底收購(gòu)政府是后入市,當(dāng)真正發(fā)生農(nóng)民賣糧難的時(shí)候,政府才發(fā)揮托底收購(gòu)的作用。
農(nóng)民利益
終于說(shuō)到讓人揪心的話題。2015年,相信玉米種植戶的損失已經(jīng)不小了,而2016年,本就脆弱的農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)再經(jīng)不起大的損失。除了前面說(shuō)到的政府托底收購(gòu)和種糧補(bǔ)貼之外,如何采取措施進(jìn)一步保護(hù)農(nóng)民利益呢?
加大政策知曉力度。在去年玉米臨儲(chǔ)價(jià)格下調(diào)后,黑龍江等地的農(nóng)戶不愿出售手中的玉米,他們認(rèn)為國(guó)家收不夠糧食,肯定會(huì)上調(diào)收購(gòu)價(jià)格,可他們不知道的是,國(guó)家的倉(cāng)庫(kù)已經(jīng)沒(méi)有地方再裝玉米了!在今年玉米臨儲(chǔ)政策取消后,在春耕之際,應(yīng)當(dāng)盡快讓農(nóng)民知曉政策的變化以及市場(chǎng)的走向,讓農(nóng)戶懸崖勒馬減少種植面積,改種其他作物。很不幸,一些市場(chǎng)專業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)對(duì)黑龍江農(nóng)戶進(jìn)行的電話調(diào)查顯示,很多農(nóng)戶依舊選擇種玉米而不是種植政府鼓勵(lì)的大豆等作物。可見(jiàn)政策的落實(shí)力度遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)不夠!
加快推進(jìn)玉米種植結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整。2015年,農(nóng)業(yè)部就已經(jīng)發(fā)出通知規(guī)劃減少玉米種植結(jié)構(gòu),重點(diǎn)在鐮刀灣地區(qū)。2016年,農(nóng)業(yè)部的計(jì)劃是在全國(guó)減少玉米種植面積1000萬(wàn)畝(全國(guó)總的玉米種植面積在5.5億畝上下)以上,各地方尤其是玉米種植大省等矛盾突出的地區(qū),應(yīng)該加大力度推進(jìn)這一工作,確保完成整體任務(wù),化解矛盾,從而減少農(nóng)民損失。
小麥稻谷
玉米這臨頭一刀不挨也得挨了,而小麥稻米的改革也將盡快推進(jìn)。中央農(nóng)村工作領(lǐng)導(dǎo)小組副組長(zhǎng)兼辦公室主任陳錫文在日前接手媒體采訪時(shí)表示,在玉米臨儲(chǔ)改革之后,稻谷和小麥的臨儲(chǔ)改革也會(huì)跟進(jìn)推進(jìn)。陳錫文判斷,這個(gè)緩沖期“多就是一年”。在今年把玉米改革先推行出去,既是為了恢復(fù)玉米的供求平衡,也是為進(jìn)一步推進(jìn)稻谷和小麥的改革探索重要經(jīng)驗(yàn)。
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